In September 2019, the government announced a major review into support for children with special educational needs and disabilities (SEND).

This is just one of many plans that has been blown off course by Covid. The Secretary of State announced in September that it was unlikely to report until 2021.

We have shown previously how the number of young people with education, health and care plans (EHCPs) – or their predecessors (Statements of SEN) – being educated in state-funded mainstream secondary schools has declined over the last twenty years and particularly since the SEND reforms of 2014.

In this blogpost we’re going to look in more detail at the extent to which pupils with SEN fall out of the state-funded school system. We hope that the DfE SEND review takes suitable action to address this.

Tracking a cohort

For this piece of work, we’re going to track a cohort of pupils observed in Year 6 in state-funded mainstream and special schools in 2013/14 all the way through to the end of 2018/19. By this time, almost all of these pupils would have been in Year 11.

At this point, pupils’ SEN statuses reflected the previous SEN code of practice: School Action, School Action Plus (external support) and Statement of SEN. As we’ve shown before, SEN status tended to change over time for many pupils.

The table below shows the pupils from our cohort broken down by SEN status and type of provision attended at the end of primary school. A total of 35% of those with Statements were being taught in special schools. And 8% were taught in specialist resourced provision (SRP) or a SEN unit within a mainstream school.

Movements out of the state school system

Now let’s track the cohort through the next five years using the termly school census. The chart below reports the percentage of pupils who have left the state sector – either mainstream or special – at each point in time.

We first observe pupils again in autumn 2015. The majority of pupils will have undergone a transition to secondary school. At this stage, we observe a slightly higher proportion of the “Not SEN” group having left the system. This is primarily to independent schools.[1]

But thereafter, pupils classified as having special educational needs at the end of primary school left the state-funded school system at a faster rate. By the end of 2019, more than 10% of pupils classified as having SEN met by either Statements or School Action had left the system. This figure was even higher (13%) among those with SEN met by School Action Plus.

Where were pupils with SEN being educated?

For the rest of this post, we’re just going to look at pupils who were receiving some form of external SEN support at the end of primary school (School Action Plus or a Statement).

We can expand the types of setting where we’re looking for these pupils to include state alternative provision and provision where the local authority is paying for education, which includes things such as independent special schools (‘local authority provision’ in the chart below).[2]

This shows a gradual reduction in the number of pupils educated in mainstream schools, and increases in the numbers attending special schools, alternative provision and local authority provision.

We also see a large increase in the number whose status is unknown. We do not know where these pupils are or what they are doing [3]. We might expect to lose a small number from the system due to emigration, errors in data linkage, or, sadly, death. But a loss of almost 4,000 pupils (6%) to unknown destinations seems on the large side.

The SEN needs of those leaving the system

Finally, we’ll look at the types of setting attended in January 2019 – Year 11 year for most of these pupils – by those classified as having SEN met by School Action Plus or a Statement when they were at the end of primary school.

The table below shows these pupils according to their primary (as in predominant) SEN type at the end of primary school.

In total, 21% of those with behavioural, social and emotional difficulties at the end of primary school were no longer in the state mainstream or special education by the end of secondary school.

Rates were lower among other groups, although they still exceeded 10% for those whose primary SEN type was moderate learning difficulties, profound and multiple learning difficulties, dyslexia and the group not otherwise classified.

Final thoughts

So what are we to make of this?

What’s clear is that there are large numbers of pupils with SEN leaving the state system – with some pupils more likely than others to leave the state system.

This seems to have happened without too much scrutiny of whether it is the right approach.

As part of the SEND review, we therefore hope that the Department for Education examines in some detail why there is so much movement of young people with SEN out of the state-funded school system and, in particular, the suitability of the education they are receiving.

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Notes

1. We subsequently observe around two-thirds of this group at independent schools in the 2019 Key Stage 4 data.

2. This latter category is provision covered by the local authority alternative provision census.

3. We subsequently observe 14% of these pupils at independent schools and 10% at general further education colleges. These types of establishment do not complete School Census.