About Dave Thomson

Dave Thomson is chief statistician at FFT with over fifteen years’ experience working with educational attainment data to raise attainment in local government, higher education and the commercial sector. His current research interests include linking education and workplace datasets to improve estimates of adult attainment and study the impact of education on employment and benefits outcomes.

Significance tests for school performance indicators: Why they’re OK really (but we should probably call them something else)

From time to time the use of significance tests for school performance indicators in RAISEonline is called into question. If school cohorts are not independent, random samples then surely we should not be using significance tests that assume independent, random samples right? Well, yes and no. If we want to make causal statements (i.e. that [...]

By |2018-09-27T17:03:13+01:0020th July 2015|School accountability|

The enormous challenge of filling the EBacc slots

The Secretary of State for Education, Nicky Morgan, will likely talk this week about the new requirement for schools to teach all Key Stage 4 pupils the English Baccalaureate subjects of English, maths, science, history or geography and a language. This follows a speech last week by Nick Gibb and is arguably the most significant part [...]

By |2017-03-03T09:46:03+00:0015th June 2015|Exams and assessment, School accountability|

Why do pupils at schools with the most able intakes tend to make the most progress?

In a previous blog, we noted that Grammar schools tended to achieve above average Progress 8 scores based on 2014 data. At first glance, this is a worrying finding. Progress 8 is supposed to offer a fairer basis for comparing schools than measures of raw attainment. Moreover, this effect is not limited to Grammar Schools. [...]

By |2018-02-23T13:05:55+00:005th May 2015|School accountability|

The hocus pocus of Progress 8

There are infinite different ways to judge whether pupils at a school achieved more or less than they might have if placed at another school chosen at random. Tom Sherrington has chosen to criticise one – Progress 8 – in his blog and propose another – a comparison of the distribution of attainment by intake and [...]

By |2017-03-03T09:44:48+00:005th May 2015|School accountability|

The pupil premium group in coastal schools: is their rate of progress really any different to schools with similar intakes?

With attainment in London, Greater Manchester and the Black Country, the focus of City Challenge initiatives, apparently no longer giving cause for concern, the spotlight has shifted to coastal towns and rural areas. The 2014 report of Her Majesty’s Chief Inspector of Schools, for example, drew attention to the problems faced by schools in such areas in recruiting teachers. [...]

By |2018-01-29T17:30:22+00:0027th April 2015|Pupil demographics|

What will Progress 8 do for the creative subjects?

The changes made by the coalition government to secondary school accountability, such as the EBACC, the Wolf Review and Progress 8, have tended to be met by concern that 'creative' subjects will become marginalised as a result of schools placing greater emphasis on 'academic' subjects. In recent weeks, for example, the TES questioned whether creative [...]

By |2018-11-15T09:54:54+00:0026th March 2015|Exams and assessment|
Go to Top